Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 15.800963 17.926717 20.241081 22.949305 26.033473 29.438733 33.486909
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 12.672850 15.425525 18.644360 22.691555 27.652683 33.546666 41.096887
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 9.995276 12.956269 16.647566 21.599065 28.086555 36.324064 47.621100
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 7.989508 10.980940 14.939586 20.581659 28.451673 39.092449 54.660972
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 6.643275 9.650745 13.862231 20.221291 29.638200 43.160705 64.218057
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 5.674993 8.689272 13.143562 20.250338 31.395374 48.353412 76.399576
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 4.840528 7.788995 12.373478 20.081102 32.846982 53.376851 89.351583
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 4.311586 7.276712 12.118312 20.680150 35.631094 61.003371 108.043881
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 3.767726 6.650705 11.580387 20.724924 37.515336 67.505771 126.188799
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 3.209861 5.909054 10.728422 20.079598 38.081958 71.832732 141.344069
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.793648 5.353549 10.117376 19.768823 39.216113 77.421548 160.112323
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.534250 5.049930 9.924120 20.225018 41.929449 86.574491 188.051545
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.327797 4.826185 9.869464 20.996675 45.538346 98.455159 224.949183
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.086570 4.491816 9.539826 21.143777 47.878455 108.184490 259.494131
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.807015 4.029389 8.866979 20.424465 48.170190 113.483388 285.056527
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.568670 3.618007 8.238044 19.693358 48.307521 118.502131 311.304045
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.402921 3.344859 7.876387 19.531558 49.810724 127.190857 349.363885
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.279118 3.150223 7.666395 19.707471 52.221222 138.732153 398.259641
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.158057 2.941870 7.388738 19.661333 54.054364 149.193449 446.970024
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.087263 2.848999 7.385257 20.345895 58.050247 166.519558 520.900677
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.997847 2.692199 7.190164 20.469417 60.493422 180.004487 586.749813
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.890118 2.467779 6.776895 19.894235 60.763751 187.140209 634.121502
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.807528 2.299368 6.489602 19.635442 61.955978 197.418517 695.157067